Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
206 AM PST Mon Jan 29 2018
One thing to note in the models this morning is now the agreement
even in the ensembles of the building ridge NOT phasing with the
high latitude ridge near the Bering Sea in 5-7 days. This is an
important development, and not a good one for snow lovers. The ridge
is building in response to the strong MJO and thus is tied to it.
The position of the strong MJO for the next 10 days strongly favors
a ridge near the west coast and very warm conditions. In contrast, a
phased ridge would have had its axis further west with cooler temps,
although still dry. It also would have been more susceptible to
undercutting beyond 10 days. The forecast pattern now is very stable
with dry and warm conditions for at least the middle of February,
and likely beyond. Maybe there is hope toward the end of February? X
Thanks @SSSdave for grim Tahoe snow news.
Confirms my suspicions. BA says about the same.
RRR ridge returns.
I'm now so bummed out I don't know what to do ? PNW,Canada, maybe Mammoth ?
Sensing that Utah and Colorado won't be any better.
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